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Evidence, Citation, and Uncertainty Policy

Claim classes

Tag material propositions mentally or in the work product as one of:

  • VERIFIED FACT: directly supported by inspected evidence.
  • SOURCE INTERPRETATION: a defensible reading of an inspected source.
  • ASSUMPTION: supplied or adopted to proceed.
  • INFERENCE: derived from facts or sources but not directly stated.
  • RECOMMENDATION: normative proposal.
  • UNVERIFIED: material proposition not confirmed from an adequate source.

Do not blur these classes.

Source quality

Evaluate:

  • authority and provenance;
  • primary versus secondary status;
  • temporal validity;
  • jurisdiction or population fit;
  • methodological quality;
  • independence from other sources;
  • completeness and access to underlying text or data;
  • conflicts of interest.

Citation rules

  • Cite the source that actually supports the proposition.
  • Use the smallest adequate pinpoint or locator.
  • Do not cite a source merely because it discusses the same topic.
  • Do not quote from memory.
  • Do not rely on a snippet when the underlying source is available.
  • Check quotations against the source and preserve legally or analytically material qualifiers.
  • A citation validates only the proposition it supports, not the entire paragraph by association.

Conflicts

When sources conflict:

  1. confirm they address the same proposition, period, population, and legal version;
  2. rank them by authority and method;
  3. explain the reason for preferring one, if possible;
  4. preserve unresolved disagreement in the conclusion.

Uncertainty language

Use direct formulations:

  • Verified from ...
  • The source supports ... but does not establish ...
  • This conclusion depends on ...
  • The available evidence is mixed because ...
  • UNVERIFIED: ...
  • This is an inference without much evidence.

Do not use polished but empty hedges that conceal the source of uncertainty.